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DTN Midday Grain Comments 09/24 10:45
Corn, Soybeans Narrowly Mixed at Midday Thursday; Wheat Flat to Lower
Corn futures are narrowly mixed at midday, soybean futures are narrowly
mixed, and wheat futures are flat to 5 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are narrowly mixed at midday, soybean futures are narrowly
mixed, and wheat futures are flat to 5 cents lower. The U.S. stock market is
weaker at midday with the S&P 41 points lower. The U.S. Dollar Index is 27
points higher. The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade is sharply
higher, with crude $3.55 higher and natural gas 0.14 cents higher. Livestock
trade is mixed, with cattle leading. Precious metals are weaker, with gold off
$28.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are narrowly mixed in quiet midday action as we consolidate in
the lower end of the range again. Ethanol margins will continue to hold
strength with blender margins improving again. The daily export wire was quiet,
with weekly sales softer at 838,300 metric tons. Weather looks to keep the
western belt wetter as early harvest will likely remain slow in shifting into
high gear. Basis will likely continue to drift short-term. On the December
chart, the 20-day at $5.35 is resistance, as we failed to hold above it, with
the lower Bollinger band at $5.24 as support.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are narrowly mixed at midday, with the trade truce extended
until January with China and meal continuing to lead the product complex as we
fade a bit from overnight gains. Meal is $4.00 to $5.00 higher and oil is 15 to
25 points lower. Harvest should pick up in the drier areas, with rains to keep
things slower in the west and to the north towards the weekend. The daily
export wire was quiet again, with weekly sales softer at 582,400 metric tons of
beans, 60,700 of old meal, 246,000 of new, and 1,600 of oil. Basis will start
to drift lower if harvest can expand next week, but will remain bid for now at
processors in slow areas. On the November contract chart, support is the 20-day
at $13.10, where we find the 20-day moving average, with resistance at the
recent high at $13.35.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are flat to 5 cents lower at midday, with the firmer dollar
helping to continue to push trade towards the lower end of the range, with
little other fresh news to boost buying, but we have firmed back from the early
lows again. Better rains into late month should help support early wheat
drilling on the plains along with early emergence. Matif wheat is softer as
well despite the weaker Euro. Weekly export sales remain sluggish at 267,600
metric tons. On the KC December chart, resistance is the 20-day at $8.06, with
the lower Bollinger Band at $7.61 as support, which we closed just above.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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